feds · December 11, 2025

Artificial Intelligence Innovation by Financial Innovators: Evidence from US Patents

Abstract

This paper examines the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) patent rates (i.e., the number of AI patents/number of firms of the same type) and concentration metrics (i.e., the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) and Gini coefficient) among financial market participants from 2000 to 2020. It documents the historical trajectories of AI innovation for regulated banking entities and less-regulated firms, revealing that nonfinancial companies exhibit the highest baseline AI patent rate, while banks show the highest growth in AI patent rate over time. Banks have the highest HHI, and nonfinancial companies have the highest Gini coefficient, suggesting that a small number of banks dominate AI innovation and the distribution of AI innovation at nonfinancial firms – though higher in number – is highly skewed toward a subset of players. These findings indicate that the AI technological gap between small and large banks may be widening and the diversity of nonfinancial companies serving as third-party AI service providers may be limited.

Finance and Economics Discussion Series Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C. ISSN 1936-2854 (Print) ISSN 2767-3898 (Online) Artificial Intelligence Innovation by Financial Innovators: Evidence from US Patents Jean Xiao Timmerman 2025-104 Please cite this paper as: Timmerman, Jean Xiao (2025). “Artificial Intelligence Innovation by Financial Innovators: Evidence from US Patents,” Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-104. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2025.104. NOTE: Staff working papers in the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS) are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. The analysis and conclusions set forth are those of the authors and do not indicate concurrence by other members of the research staff or the Board of Governors. References in publications to the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (other than acknowledgement) should be cleared with the author(s) to protect the tentative character of these papers.

Artificial Intelligence Innovation by Financial Innovators: Evidence from US Patents Jean Xiao Timmerman∗ October 14, 2025 Abstract This paper examines the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) patent rates (i.e.,thenumberofAIpatents/numberoffirmsofthesametype)andconcentration metrics (i.e., the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) and Gini coefficient) among financial market participants from 2000 to 2020. It documents the historical trajectories of AI innovation for regulated banking entities and less-regulated firms, revealing that nonfinancial companies exhibit the highest baseline AI patent rate, while banks show the highest growth in AI patent rate over time. Banks have the highest HHI, and nonfinancial companies have the highest Gini coefficient, suggesting that a small number of banks dominate AI innovation and the distribution of AI innovation at nonfinancial firms – though higher in number – is highly skewed toward a subset of players. These findings indicate that the AI technological gap between small and large banks may be widening and the diversity of nonfinancial companies serving as third-party AI service providers may be limited. I. Introduction The rapid and widespread adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) has highlighted the need for a deeper understanding of how AI has affected different industries. In the realm of finance, this renewed focus on AI has amplified existing concerns and inquiries about AI’s effects on financial institutions, market structures, and systemic stability. Financial market participants have been at the forefront of developing and adopting AI technologies for decades, employing classical machine learning algorithms for credit scoring, algorithmic trading, and fraud detection before newer technologies such as generative AI were invented (UST, 2024; Alan Turing Institute, 2019). Researchers (e.g., Kou & Lu, 2025; Eisfeldt & Schubert, 2024; Sheng et al., 2024; Weber et al., 2024; Zakaria et al., 2023; Babina et al., ∗Theviewsexpressedinthispaperaresolelythoseoftheauthorandshouldnotbeinterpretedasreflectingtheviewsofthe BoardofGovernorsortheFederalReserveSystem. TheauthorwouldliketothankJeffAllen, JakeClark, JosephCox, Julia Gouny,AnneHansen,SeungLee,ArtLindo,NitishSinha,andPaulSotooftheFederalReserveBoardforvaluablecomments. The author would also like to thank Ryan Panley for helpful research assistance. This paper was written with generative AI assistance. Allerrorsaretheauthor’s. 1

2023) and policymakers (e.g., Barr, 2025; Bowman, 2024; Cook, 2025; Hsu, 2024; Uyeda, 2025) are increasingly interested in understanding how AI technologies – especially newer forms of AI – are transforming the internal operations, product and service offerings, risk management, and profitability of firms participating in financial markets. ThispaperempiricallyexaminesthehistoricaltrajectoriesofAIinnovation, measured by AI patents, across different financial market participants from 2000 to 2020, revealing how various market segments have responded to and developed emerging technology. Despite the long-standing relationship between AI and finance, few studies have examined the historical patterns of AI innovation among banks, nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs), and nonfinancial companies – three interconnected types of firms. Both NBFIs and nonfinancial companies can exert competitive pressure, or serve as partners or vendors, to banks. By analyzing these historical trajectories, this study documents the evolution of AI innovation across regulated banking entities and less-regulated firms and sheds light on the potential concentration of AI capabilities in the financial sector. First, in Section II, I briefly present relevant background information and discuss related literature. This section explores key factors driving AI innovation patterns, including firm heterogeneity, technological opportunities, and regulatory environments. It also provides context on the evolving banking regulatory perimeter and potential systemic risks associated with AI concentration in finance. Next, in Sections III and IV, I describe the data used and provide some descriptive figures of the data to paint a portrait of the historical landscape. In particular, I leverage AI patent data from the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) as a proxy for AI innovation to uncover trends over time across various types of financial innovators (i.e., holders of finance-related patents as identified by Lerner et al. (2024)).1 This set of financial innovators includes banks, NBFIs, and nonfinancial companies, which include entities that could serve as technology vendors. In 1Lerneretal.(2024)useasophisticatedmachinelearningapproachtoidentifyfinance-relatedpatentsandtheircorresponding owners. Their approach minimizes both false positives and false negatives and likely captures all key players in the realm of financialinnovationin2000-2018. Twoexamplesofinventionsthatwerepatentedaretheautomatedtellermachine(ATM)and blockchain. 2

Section V, I explain the empirical strategy for testing whether there are significant differences across different types of financial innovators over time in the AI patent rate (i.e., the number of AI patents/number of firms of the same type) and AI patent concentration (i.e., the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) and Gini coefficient). In Section VI, I report my regression results. The results reveal significant disparities in AI patent rate and concentration across different types of financial innovators from 2000 to 2020. Nonfinancial companies exhibit a 2.7 times higher baseline AI patent rate than that of banks. NBFIs, surprisingly, do not show a significantly higher baseline AI patent rate compared to that of banks. Banks show the highest growth in AI patent rate over time as compared to NBFIs and nonfinancial companies. NBFIs are slower by 6 percentage points, and nonfinancial companies are slower by 13 percentage points. Finance-related and planning and control AI patents (which capture business processes and operations) show higher baseline rates generally, with banks demonstrating focus in these areas. Additionally, the analysis of two complementary AI patent concentration measures reveals a consistently high level of concentration across different types of financial innovators. Banks show the highest HHI, with the HHIs of NBFIs and nonfinancial companies lower by at least 79 percent. Nonfinancial companies – though higher in number than banks and NBFIs – exhibit the highest Gini coefficient, almost 97 percent higher than that of banks. Importantly, the Gini coefficient is increasing for all firm types, indicating growing disparities in AI patent ownership across the board. In Section VII, I discuss the implications of these findings. The results can be interpreted through the framework proposed by Di Lucido et al. (2023), who describe how the banking regulatory perimeter evolves in response to “outside-in” and “inside-out” pressures. The higher baseline AI patent rate of nonfinancial companies represents an outside-in force to the perimeter, while the rapid growth in banks’ AI patent rates signifies an inside-out response to this competitive pressure. Additionally, the analysis reveals high and increasing concentration of AI patents, particularly among large banks and nonfinancial companies. 3

This concentration suggests a potential widening technological gap between large and small banks, with AI patents potentially reinforcing the systemic importance of large banks. Furthermore, it indicates that the pool of third-party AI service providers that are nonfinancial firms may be limited, which could have implications for the broader financial ecosystem. II. Background and Related Literature A. Innovation The economics and finance innovation literature is an extensive and multifaceted body of scholarly work spanning several decades. The theoretical and empirical examination of innovation processes have significant contributions emerging from industrial economics, which analyzes innovation through the lens of market structure, appropriability regimes, and firm behavior (see, e.g., Hall & Helmers, 2024; Cohen, 2010; Molyneux & Shamroukh, 1999). A specialized domain has emerged parallel to this broader literature, focusing on financial innovation and examining the unique dynamics of technological change and product development within financial markets and institutions (see, e.g., Molyneux & Shamroukh, 1999; Lerner et al., 2024; Frame & White, 2004, 2014; Frame et al., 2019; Litan, 2010; Kou & Lu, 2025). This study most directly builds on the seminal work of Lerner et al. (2024), who examine the evolution of financial innovation in the United States from 2000 to 2018 using a novel dataset of over 24,000 finance-related patents. Their analysis reveals several key trends: a shift towards consumer-focused innovations, the increasing dominance of information technology (IT) and NBFI payments firms in financial innovation, and the geographic shift of innovation away from states with tighter financial regulation. This study adds a dimension to the literature by offering insights into the evolution of AI innovation (financeand nonfinance-related) by different types of financial market participants over time. Several key factors can drive different patterns of AI innovation across different types of financial innovators: 4

1. Firm Type Heterogeneity: Different types of firms operate under distinct business models and strategic objectives that shape their innovation priorities (Hall & Helmers, 2024). Banks, NBFIs, and nonfinancial companies allocate innovation resources differently based on their institutional characteristics and core competencies (Lerner et al., 2024). 2. Technological Opportunity: The evolving landscape of AI capabilities creates varying innovation incentives across applications and market segments (Hall & Helmers, 2024; Frame & White, 2004). Financial and nonfinancial companies differ in their capacity to identify and exploit these technological opportunities based on their existing assets and capabilities. 3. Regulatory Environment: Relative to nonfinancial companies and NBFIs, banks face regulatory constraints that influence their risk appetite for technological experimentation (Frame & White, 2004). These regulatory differentials shape what innovations firms pursue and where they locate their innovative activities, with evidence showing strategic shifts away from jurisdictions with more stringent regulation (Lerner et al., 2024). 4. Market Structure: Competitive dynamics and industry concentration significantly influence innovation incentives and the distribution of innovation returns (Hall & Helmers, 2024; Frame & White, 2004). Dominant firms in concentrated markets may innovate to maintain market power, while firms in competitive environments may innovate to differentiate their product offerings. 5. Product Market Demand Conditions: Financial institutions respond to market signals about consumer preferences and unmet needs when allocating innovation resources (Hall & Helmers, 2024; Frame & White, 2004). Different types of institutions may serve distinct market segments with varying demand characteristics, contributing to differences in their AI innovation portfolios. 6. Appropriability: The ability to capture returns from innovation shapes incentives and strategies, with financial institutions facing unique appropriability challenges (Hall & Helmers, 2024; Frame & White, 2004). Many financial innovators traditionally relied on trade secrets rather than patents. Patents became a much more viable form of intellectual property protection following the seminal State Street Bank & Trust Co. v. Signature Fin’l 5

Grp., 149F.3d 1368(Fed. Cir. 1998)case (seeLerner etal., 2024; La Belle&Schooner, 2014, 2020). In the twenty-first century, patents have become a reasonable measure of innovation in the academic literature (see Cohen, 2010), among other measures such as research and development (see, e.g., Soto, 2025). 7. Subject Matter of Invention: AI innovation focus varies across financial institutions based on their core competencies and strategic objectives (Hall & Helmers, 2024; Frame & White, 2004). For example, IT and payments firms might emphasize more consumer finance applications than banks do (Lerner et al., 2024). 8. Inventor Team Geography: The geographical locations of the different inventors of a patent is a representation of the spatial distribution of innovation activities, which affects outcomes through knowledge spillovers, talent access, and regional specialization (see Muro &Liu, 2021). Forinstance, differenttypesoffinancialinstitutionsexhibitvaryinggeographic innovation strategies, influencing both the quantity and quality of their innovation (Lerner et al., 2024). B. Banking Regulatory Perimeter This study also contributes to the growing literature surrounding the banking regulatory perimeter, which refers to the legal framework that defines which entities and activities are subject to banking regulation and supervision. It essentially delineates the boundary between(1)regulatedbankingactivitiesandorganizationsand(2)unregulatedorless-regulated financial and commercial activities and organizations. Banks typically operate under stricter regulatory oversight than NBFIs and nonfinancial companies, which may influence their approach to innovation (Frame & White, 2004). Regulatory constraints can both impede innovation by imposing additional compliance burdens (Lerner et al., 2024; Acharya et al., 2024) and encourage certain types of innovation that address regulatory challenges (Silber, 1983). Di Lucido et al. (2023) provide a framework for understanding how this perimeter evolves over time in response to two key pressures. “Outside-in” pressure occurs when firms 6

operating outside the regulatory perimeter – such as technology companies and NBFIs – compete with regulated banks by offering financial services or products without facing the same regulatory constraints. “Inside-out” pressure refers to the strategic responses of banks to these competitive threats. Changes in the perimeter can be driven by technological advances. Recent papers in this literature have focused on how the innovation of stablecoins represents a significant challenge to the traditional banking regulatory perimeter (see, e.g., Awrey, 2022; Gordon and Zhang, 2023). Stablecoins allow non-bank entities to create monetaryliabilitiesthatfunctionallyresemblebankdepositswithoutbeingsubjecttoconventional banking regulation. As technological capabilities advance, the pressure on the regulatory perimeter intensifies. Nonfinancial companies, particularly large technology firms, and NBFIs can leverage their consumer data and technical expertise to develop financial services and products that compete with banks (Doerr et al., 2023; Feyen et al., 2021). Meanwhile, banks may respond by accelerating their own innovation efforts, venturing outside the perimeter where the boundaries are porous, or forming strategic partnerships with nonbanks (Jackson, 2020; Acharya et al., 2024; Omarova, 2013). C. Concentration in AI and Systemic Risk Finally, this study sits in the growing body of literature of AI in finance, which has traditionally focused on the applications, risks, and impact of AI technologies on financial activities, entities, and ecosystem. As financial institutions increasingly integrate AI into their operations, the potential systemic risks stemming from concentrated innovation patterns have attracted attention from researchers and policymakers alike (see, e.g., Lin, 2019; UST, 2024). International financial organizations have identified concentration risk as potentially amplifying existing financial vulnerabilities (OECD, 2023; FSB, 2024a). One key mechanism through which AI concentration could generate systemic risk is third-party dependencies and service provider concentration. The AI supply chain is 7

characterized by high market concentration in critical infrastructure components, including specialized hardware, cloud services, and foundation models (FSB, 2024a; Abbas et al., 2024; OECD, 2023). This creates a situation where numerous financial institutions may depend on the same small set of AI technology providers. This dependency creates operational vulnerabilities, as disruptions affecting these key providers could simultaneously impact multiple financial institutions. A second important mechanism is correlated decision-making resulting from similar AImodelsanddatasources, orpotentiallyevencollusion. Whenfinancialinstitutionsrelyon AI models trained on common data or using similar methodologies, they may reach similar conclusions about market conditions and adopt similar strategies (Danielsson et al., 2022). This technological homogeneity can lead to synchronized behaviors across market participants, particularly during periods of stress, leading to correlated trading or deposit withdrawal (OECD, 2023; Phillips, 2024). AI-driven market correlations could be exacerbated by increasing automation in financial markets, as algorithms may respond to market signals in similar ways (Abbas et al., 2024). In particular, the convergence of trading strategies creates the risk of feedback loops that can, in turn, trigger acute price moves and pro-cyclicality (OECD, 2023). Relatedly, AI can enable bad actors to intentionally manipulate financial markets through spreading deepfakes and misinformation (OECD, 2023). III. Data This study empirically examines how AI patent rate and AI patent concentration varies across firm types and time. AI patent rate is measured by the number of AI patents divided by the number of firms of the same type. AI patent concentration is measured by the HHI and Gini coefficient of AI patents, reflecting market structure. HHI indicates how AI patents are distributed across firms within each firm type, whereas the Gini coefficient measures unevenness in the distribution of patents among all firms within a firm type.2 2HHI and the Gini coefficient are both measures of concentration or distribution, but they capture different aspects. HHI reflectshowconcentratedAIpatentownershipisamongfirmswithineachfirmtype,andtheGinicoefficientmeasuresinequality in the distribution of AI patents among all firms within a firm type. HHI is more sensitive to the number of firms and the 8

Inordertoconducttheanalysis,Imatchthreedatasetsforthispaper: (1)theUSPTO Artificial Intelligence Patent Dataset (AIPD); (2) the USPTO Patentsview data; and (3) the Lerner et al. (2024) financial innovator data. The USPTO AIPD, which identifies all AI patents from 1976 to 2023, is the source of AI patent data for this study (Pairolero et al., 2025).3 The AIPD employs a machine learning approach to classify AI-related patents, utilizing Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) (Devlin et al., 2018; Srebrovic & Yonamine, 2020) as its method. The training data for the BERT model comprises high quality data sources, including USPTO examiner-annotated patents. To generate the core seed set, they look for patents that are classified as relevant to eight AI component technologies by each of these four classification systems: the Cooperative Patent Classification (CPC) system, the International Patent Classification (IPC) system, the US Patent Classification (USPC) system, and Derwent’s patent index. The eight AI component technologies are machine learning, evolutionary computation, natural language processing, vision, speech, knowledge processing, planning and control, and AI hardware (see definitions in Appendix Table A1). The AIPD provides three thresholds of AI patent prediction. For this study, I rely on a prediction threshold of 86 percent, which balances precision (reducing false positives) and recall (catching more true AI patents). For patents granted by May 2025, I obtain patent identification numbers from Patentsview, where the USPTO makes patent attributes available (including patent filing date, grant date, CPC classification, and geographic location of any inventors).4 These patent identification numbers correspond to financial innovators from Lerner et al. (2024). Lerner et al. (2024) employ a supervised machine learning approach to identify financerelated patents that were filed in 2000-2018 and granted by 2019; I consider the holders of these patents to be financial innovators.5 Lerner et al. (2024) first utilize the USPTO CPC market shares of the largest firms. HHI might not change much if patents are redistributed among mid-sized innovators, but would change a lot if the top innovator gains or loses patents. The Gini coefficient is more sensitive to changes in the middle ofthedistribution. TheGinicoefficientwouldbemorelikelytoreflectchangesif,forexample,agroupofmedium-sizedfirms startedpatentingmore,evenifthetopfirms’patentcountsdidn’tchangemuch. 3TheAIPDalsoidentifiesAIpatentapplications,butthispaperfocusesonAIgrantedpatents. 4ThePatentsviewdatafilesarefromtheirMay19,2025,updateandthusincludespatentsgrantedbyMay2025. 5IobtaintheirdatafromGithub. SeeFinancialPatentDataSet,Github(lastupdatedApril5,2022),https://github.com /KPSS2017/Financial_Patent_Data_public. 9

codes to create an initial training set, focusing on G06Q 20 (data processing operations; generally covering payment architectures, schemes, and protocols) and G06Q 40 (finance, insurance, tax strategies, and corporate/income taxes). Their model incorporates natural language processing techniques applied to patent text and inventor characteristics, yielding 90 percent sensitivity and specificity, which suggests a robust identification process that minimizes both false positives and false negatives. This approach is then extended to patents with secondary classifications in the CPC groups, but primary classifications in nine other subclasses. Subsequently, Lerner et al. (2024) merge their patent data with financial data from Capital IQ by the first assignee of the patents, using the Global Corporate Patent Dataset (Bena et al., 2017) and name matching, given that by law, a corporate entity must be assigned the patent in order to hold it.6 The Capital IQ data includes the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) code of the corporate patent holder.7 I use the Patentsview patent identification numbers to connect the AIPD data to patents held by financial innovators identified in Lerner et al. (2024). The most recent observation is used if multiple patent numbers are associated (which could be due to reissuance). Withdrawn patents are removed. The data is then restricted to patents that were filed during 2000-2020 for several reasons: First, post-2020, there is the greatest likelihood of incomplete data, as patents can take many years to be granted or assigned, and there is an observed decline in the number of patents filed after 2020. Second, there are relatively a small number of patents by financial innovators pre-2000 prior to the 1998 State Street Bank decision. Third, the identified financial innovators are from 2000-2018, so extending the data too many years beyond 2018 will likely miss new financial innovators and distort the results. I construct the following variables of interest: (1) the AI patent rate (i.e., number 6Bylaw,inventorsmustbenaturalpersons. See35U.S.C.§100(f). Currently,anAIsystemcannotbelistedastheinventor onapatent. SeeThalerv. Vidal,43F.4th1207(Fed. Cir. 2022). USPTOissuedguidanceinFebruary2024thatstatedthat anAI-assistedinventionmaybepatentedaslongasatleastonenaturalpersonhas“significantlycontributed”totheclaimed invention(USPTO,2024;Hickey&Zirpoli,2024). 7TheGICScategorizesfirmsbasedontheirsourceofrevenue,thoughearningsandmarketperceptioncanalsobeconsidered. EachcompanyisassignedasingleGICSclassificationusingafour-tieredstructurefromthebroadesttothenarrowest: sectors, industrygroups,industries,andsub-industries. 10

of AI patents/number of firms of the same type), (2) the HHI of the AI patents, and (3) the Gini coefficient of the AI patents. Next, I create a firm-type variable that identifies the financial innovator as a bank, NBFI, or nonfinancial company by its GICS code. Banks are assignees with GICS codes for diversified banks and regional banks. NBFIs are assignees with GICS codes for thrifts and mortgage finance,8 multi-sector holdings, property and casualtyinsurance,assetmanagementandcustodybanks,investmentbankingandbrokerage, financialexchangesanddata, consumerfinance, lifeandhealthinsurance, specializedfinance, diversified capital markets, insurance brokers, reinsurance, multi-line insurance, specialized realestateinvestmenttrusts(REITs), diversifiedREITs, anddataprocessingandoutsourced services. The remaining financial innovators are nonfinancial companies in various sectors. Further, I create an AI patent ratio variable that equals the number of AI patents divided by the number of total patents for all financial innovators. As discussed in Section II, subject matter and inventor team geography can influence the supply of AI innovation. Accordingly, I construct a subject matter indicator that identifies if the patent has a finance-related CPC code (i.e., G06Q 20 and G06Q 40) as a primary or secondary CPC code. I create another subject matter indicator that identifies if the patent has the planning and control AI component technology, which reflects AI patents that contain methods to implement business goals (Giczy et al., 2022). For example, they can include inventions that make managing an organization, business processes, and operations, including workflow and forecasting, more efficient. Finally, I construct an inventor team geography variable to identify if the AI patent has a multi-region inventor team (i.e., if the inventor team is from multiple US regions – Northeast, Midwest, South, or West – or a US region and at least one foreign country). 8Whileingeneralsomeentitiesunderthriftsandmortgagefinancecanbeconsidered“banks,”alloftheentitiesinthemerged dataarenonbankmortgagecompanies. Thus,IputthemundertheNBFIcategory. 11

IV. Descriptive Observations In this section, I present some descriptive figures of the data. As related to AI patenting activity, Figure 1 displays patterns across firm type and time. Panel A highlights the dominance of nonfinancial companies in AI patent counts from 2000 to 2020. Panel B shows that the number of entities that are nonfinancial companies are higher than the number of banks and the number of NBFIs. Panel C presents a more nuanced picture of the AI patent rate. While all firm types demonstrate an upward trend in AI patent rates, banks display the steepest growth, particularly in later years. This indicates that although fewer in number, banks are increasing their AI innovation efforts at a faster rate than other firm types. Finally, Panel D shows that there is a general upward trend in the AI patent ratio over time for all firm types. Banks consistently have the highest AI patent ratio across all periods, followed by NBFIs. Nonfinancial companies have the lowest AI patent ratios. Appendix Figures A1 and A2 further shed light on Figure 1. Figure A1, Panel A, shows that the increase in bank AI patent rates is driven by diversified banks (large banks which offer a broad range of financial services) rather than smaller regional banks. The top two NBFI groups are data processing and outsourced services (which consist of payment firms) and property and casualty insurance. The top three nonfinancial sectors are IT(includingtechnologyhardware,software,andsemiconductorcompanies), communication services (including telecom and media companies), and consumer discretionary (including automobile, retail, and consumer services companies). The graphs in Appendix Figure A2 suggest that the proportion of most impactful patents for banks are similar to those for NBFIs and nonfinancial companies, implying that banks are not simply following other entities’ innovations to advance their technology.9 9AppendixFigureA2,PanelAdepictspercentageofbreakthroughpatentsovertimebyentitytype. Breakthroughpatents aredefinedbyKellyetal.(2021)astop10percentofpatentswiththehighestratiosofforwardsimilaritytobackwardsimilarity, indicatingthattheyaredissimilartopriorpatentsbutsimilartofutureones. Theauthorscreatethesimilaritymeasuresbased onwordfrequencyvectors. Whiletheanalysisintheirpapergoesto2010,theyextendthebreakthroughindicatorcalculations to2016intheirGithub: https://github.com/KPSS2017/Measuring-Technological-Innovation-Over-the-Long-Run-Extended- Data. Panel B depicts the percentage of patents that are in the top 25 percent of patents with the highest ratios of forward similarity to backward similarly, as defined by Arts et al. (2021). The authors use a cosine similarity measure that takes into account the combination of keywords and their frequencies. They define their measure for all patents granted by May 2018. Theirdataisavailablehere: https://zenodo.org/record/3515985. 12

Figure2illustratestheconcentrationtrendsinAIpatentingacrossdifferentfirmtypes over time. Panel A shows that the HHI for banks is higher than that of both nonfinancial companies and NBFIs. Panel B presents an increasing trend in the Gini coefficient over time, pointing to growing disparities in AI patent ownership within each firm type. With respect to subject matter and inventor team geographical differences, Figure 3 shows the evolution of AI patent characteristics across different firm types over time. Panel A reveals a notable increase in the finance-related AI patent rate for both banks and NBFIs, suggesting that they focus on AI innovation related to their business functions. This trend contrasts with the slower growth observed for nonfinancial companies in this domain. Appendix Figure A3 shows that within the set of finance-related AI patents, the rate related to payment architectures, schemes, and protocols is the highest for all firm types. Figure 3, Panels B and C, focusing on planning and control AI patents and multi-region AI patents respectively, demonstrate a steeper increase in AI patent rate by banks than that of other firmtypes, particularlyinthelatteryearsofthestudyperiod. AsshowninAppendixFigures A4 and A5, planning and control and multi-region AI patents are top contributors to patent rate for all firm types, especially for finance firms. V. Empirical Strategy I use the following baseline empirical model to analyze AI patent rate and AI patent concentration across firm types and time: 𝑌 = 𝛼+∑(𝛾 𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 )+𝜉𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 +∑(𝜋 (𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 ×𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 ))+𝜖 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 𝑗 𝑗 𝑡 𝑗𝑡 𝑗 𝑡 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 The dependent variable (𝑌 ) is: 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 1. log(𝐴𝐼_𝑝𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑡_𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 ), 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 2. 𝐻𝐻𝐼 , or 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 13

3. 𝐺𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑐𝑜𝑒𝑓𝑓𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑡 , 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 for firm type 𝑗, in filing year 𝑡, for subject matter 𝑠, and inventor team region 𝑟. All of the variables are aggregated by firm type, filing year, subject matter, and inventor team region (see below the variable definitions for subject matter and inventor team region). The linear regressions are estimated using a sample of 250 observations and robust standard errors. In this baseline specification, the independent variables of interest are: 1. 𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 : A categorical variable denoting the type of entity (i.e., bank (reference 𝑗 category), NBFI, or nonfinancial company), capturing the firm type heterogeneity. 2. 𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 : A continuous variable representing the filing year, centered at 2000 (e.g., 𝑡 2000 = 0, 2001 = 1), allowing examination of changes in technological opportunities related to AI over time. The interaction term (𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 ×𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 ) allows for testing differences in the rate 𝑗 𝑡 of technological progress across firm types. Given that subject matter and inventor team geography may be sources of heterogeneity influencing factors such as technological opportunity and product market demand conditions, this study also examines empirical models incorporating these elements: 𝑌 = 𝛼+∑(𝛾 𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 )+𝜉𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 𝑗 𝑗 𝑡 +∑(𝛿 𝑆𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑀𝑎𝑡𝑡𝑒𝑟 ) 𝑠 𝑠 +∑(𝜋 (𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 ×𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 )) 𝑗𝑡 𝑗 𝑡 +∑(𝜌 (𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 ×𝑆𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑀𝑎𝑡𝑡𝑒𝑟 )) 𝑗𝑠 𝑗 𝑠 +∑(𝜏 (𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 ×𝑆𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑀𝑎𝑡𝑡𝑒𝑟 )) 𝑡𝑠 𝑡 𝑠 +∑(𝜔 (𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 ×𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 ×𝑆𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑀𝑎𝑡𝑡𝑒𝑟 )) 𝑗𝑡𝑠 𝑗 𝑡 𝑠 +𝜖 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 14

and 𝑌 = 𝛼+∑(𝛾 𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 )+𝜉𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 𝑗 𝑗 𝑡 +∑(𝛿 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑅𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛 ) 𝑟 𝑟 +∑(𝜋 (𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 ×𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 )) 𝑗𝑡 𝑗 𝑡 +∑(𝜌 (𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 ×𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑅𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛 )) 𝑗𝑟 𝑗 𝑟 +∑(𝜏 (𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 ×𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑅𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛 )) 𝑡𝑟 𝑡 𝑟 +∑(𝜔 (𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑒 ×𝐹𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 ×𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑅𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛 )) 𝑗𝑡𝑟 𝑗 𝑡 𝑟 +𝜖 𝑗𝑡𝑠𝑟 These expanded models consider: 1. Subject matter of invention (𝑠) – alternatively, (1) whether the dependent variable is associated with finance-related AI patents or not, or (2) whether the dependent variable is associated with planning and control AI patents or not; and 2. Inventor team region (𝑟)–whetherthedependentvariableisassociatedwithinventors from multiple geographic regions or not. By analyzing the baseline and expanded models, this study aims to test whether variations in AI patent rate and concentration across firm types over time are significant, as well as by subject matter and inventor team geography. VI. Results A. AI Patent Rate Table 1 presents the results of the AI patent rate regression analyses. The baseline model in Column 1 reveals significant differences in AI patent rate across firm types and over time. Notably, while NBFIs’ baseline AI patent rate does not significantly differ from that of banks, nonfinancial companies exhibit a baseline rate that is 2.7 times higher.10 A significant 10Iderive2.7inthefollowingway: (exp^(0.38+1.31)-exp^0.38)/exp^0.38. 15

positive trend in AI patent rates over time for all firm types is observed. However, this trend varies significantly across firm types. Both NBFIs and nonfinancial companies show slower rates of increase compared to that of banks. NBFIs are slower by 6 percentage points, and nonfinancial companies are slower by 13 percentage points.11 These results demonstrate varying rates of technological progress across firm types, with banks showing the fastest growth in AI patent rates over the study period. For finance-related AI patents, a higher baseline rate is observed compared to that of non-finance-related patents. However, this effect varies significantly by firm type. Both NBFIs and nonfinancial companies show lower rates for finance-related patents compared to that of banks. Over time, finance-related patents grow more slowly overall, but this slower growth is mitigated for NBFIs. Planning and control AI patents also show a higher baseline rate. Similar to finance-related patents, both NBFIs and nonfinancial companies display lower rates for planning-related patents compared to that of banks. Unlike finance-related patents, no significant differences in growth rates for planning-related patents over time across firm types are observed. Interestingly, no significant baseline difference is found for patents with inventors from multiple regions. Regarding time trends, there is evidence of a negative effect over time for NBFIs. In summary, while nonfinancial companies have the highest AI patent rate, banks have the highest growth in AI patent rate over time. Banks are also more focused on both finance-related and planning and control AI patents. These results do not provide evidence for diverse inventor teams leading to a higher patent rate. B. AI Patent Concentration To analyze the concentration of AI patents among financial innovators, this study examines both HHI and the Gini coefficient. The HHI results reveal significant differences in AI patent concentration across firm types. NBFIs and nonfinancial companies exhibit 11I calculate the percentage difference in the following way: for NBFIs v. banks: (exp^(0.15 - 0.05) - 1) - (exp^0.15 - 1) ￿ -0.06 or -6 percentage points, and for nonfinancial companies v. banks: (exp^(0.15 - 0.12) - 1) - (exp^0.15 - 1) ￿ -0.13 or -13 percentagepoints. 16

significantly lower baseline HHIs compared to that of banks. NBFIs have a 79 percent lower HHI than banks, and nonfinancial companies have an 88 percent lower HHI than banks.12 Over time, the concentration remains relatively stable for banks and nonfinancial companies, while NBFIs show a slight increase in concentration. The Gini coefficient results paint a different, but complementary, picture of AI patent distribution. Nonfinancial companies show the highest baseline inequality, significantly higher than banks by about 97 percent.13 Banks and NBFIs have similar levels of baseline inequality, as the difference between them is not statistically significant. Over time, unevenness in distribution is increasing for all firm types, but at a slower rate for nonfinancial companies compared to that of banks. Examining finance-related AI patents reveals further nuances. The HHI model shows that NBFIs have even lower concentration for finance-related patents, with their concentration increasing over time. Similarly, the Gini model indicates that there is lower unevenness in distribution for finance-related patents for NBFIs and nonfinancial companies compared to that of banks. Interestingly, for such patents, inequality is increasing faster over time for NBFIs and nonfinancial companies compared to banks. Comparable patterns emerge for planning-related AI patents, with NBFIs showing lower HHI but increasing over time, and lower Gini coefficient for NBFIs and nonfinancial companies compared to that of banks. Finally, geographic diversity in inventor teams is associated with a higher HHI but a slightly lower Gini coefficient. This suggests that fewer players engage in multi-region collaboration, but AI patents may be more equally distributed among them. In summary, these results demonstrate a concentrated AI patent landscape among financial innovators. The results suggest that AI patenting in the banking sector is dominated by a few major players (high HHI) and the distribution of patents among nonfinancial companies – though greater in number than banks – is highly skewed toward a subset of 12Iderivethesedifferencesinthefollowingway: forNBFIsv. banks: (exp^(8.26-1.57)-exp^8.26)/exp^8.26=-0.79or79 percent,andfornonfinancialcompaniesv. banks: (exp^(8.26-2.14)-exp^8.26)/exp^8.26=-0.88or88percent. 13Iderivethisinthefollowingway: ((0.61-0.31)/0.31*100)=97percent. 17

these firms (high Gini coefficient). C. Additional Analysis I conduct two robustness checks. First, I cluster standard errors at the firm type level. This approach accounts for potential correlation in the error terms within each firm type (banks, NBFIs, and nonfinancial companies). I find that all results remain significant. Second, I remove observations related to large firms that engage in a wide range of financial services that extend beyond traditional banking, potentially blurring the line between banks and NBFIs. I find that all results remain significant except the increasing HHI for NBFIs. Next, I run regressions where the log of AI patent count (instead of log of AI patent rate) is the dependent variable and conduct marginal effects analysis on the annual growth rate. The results align, showing that banks have the highest annual growth rate. Finally, I explore whether the AI patent ratio is significantly increasing over time. Appendix Table A3 is consistent with Figure 1, Panel D, and shows that the mean AI patent ratio is increasing over time for all firm types. Banks show significant increases in 2010-2014 and 2015-2020. Nonfinancial companies show a significant increase in 2005-2009. VII. Discussion A. AI Patent Rate The analysis reveals a dynamic landscape of AI patent rates among financial innovators, with significant differences across firm types and over time. Nonfinancial companies – including IT firms – lead in AI patenting activity, demonstrating a substantially higher baseline AI patent rate compared to that of banks. However, the trajectory of AI patenting shows a shift over the study period. Banks exhibit the fastest growth in AI patent rate, outpacing both NBFIs and nonfinancial companies. Banks have a higher rate for finance-related and planning-related AI patents, as compared to those of other firm types. 18

The results of this paper can be understood through the lens of Di Lucido et al. (2023)’s outside-in/inside-out framework on the evolution of the regulatory perimeter. This study shows that the baseline AI patent rate of nonfinancial companies is substantially higher than banks, potentially creating outside-in pressure on banks. The rapid growth in the AI patent rate of banks can be interpreted as an inside-out response to this competitive pressure. Banks appear to be rapidly increasing their own AI innovation efforts to maintain their competitive position in an increasingly technology-driven financial landscape. The findings of this study complement findings of finance-related innovation studies. Lerneretal.(2024)findthatITfirms,alongwithothernonfinancialcompanies,haveemerged as the dominant force in producing financial patents. Moreover, they provide evidence that banks increased their representation among “fintech” patents (i.e., communications, cryptocurrency, andsecuritypatents)andsoftwarepatentsatafasterratethanITandNBFI payments firms. La Belle and Schooner (2020) and Awrey (2022) also describe increasing competition in the 2010s among IT companies, NBFIs, and banks in “fintech” patents like blockchain, mobile payments, cryptocurrencies, and other digital assets. Additionally, a study of worldwide AI patent data by the Center for Security and Emerging Technology shows that IT firms generally lead AI innovation (Thomas & Murdick, 2020). Surprisingly, the results do not provide support for the baseline AI patent rate of NBFIs to be higher than banks. This could potentially be explained by the strategic decision of certain types of NBFIs, such as asset managers, to forgo patenting their AI innovations. Many large asset managers and hedge funds (e.g., BlackRock, Fidelity Investments, Bridgewater Associates, Renaissance Technologies, and Citadel) are not in this study’s dataset. This explanation aligns with the framework proposed by Kumar and Turnbull (2008). They argue for certain types of financial innovations, particularly those that benefit from market liquidity and further development, non-patenting may be optimal. AI trading algorithms and processes often fall into this category. The value of these innovations often lies in their continuous refinement and adaptation to changing market conditions. Firms innovating in 19

this space are likely opting to protect their innovations through trade secrets, which allows them to maintain their competitive edge without public disclosure. Regarding subject matter, the growth of planning and control AI patents could be due to the enactment of the America Invents Act (AIA) in 2011, which lowered the cost of defending financial business methods patents.14 The AIA created the Patent Trial and Appeal Board (PTAB) to oversee a new type of proceeding that allows the USPTO to review covered business methods (CBM) (La Belle & Schooner, 2020). In particular, CBM review allows the PTAB to deal quickly with invalid business-method patents related to financial services or products (La Belle & Schooner, 2014).15 Since CBM review sunset in September 2020, some large banks have faced an uptick in patent lawsuits and have lobbied for renewal of CBM (Bultman, 2021). Additionally, some large banks have recently joined consortiums that encourage use of shared software licensing, agreements to not sue consortium members, and efforts to have patents owned by non-practicing entities invalidated (Crosman, 2022; Open Innovation Network, 2023). B. AI Patent Concentration The analysis of AI patent concentration among financial innovators, using both HHI and Gini coefficient measures, reveals a landscape characterized by high and increasing concentration. While the measures show different patterns across firm types, both indicate significant concentration in the AI patent space. The HHI results demonstrate that banks have the highest concentration of AI patents. Meanwhile, the Gini coefficient results further support the concentration narrative, showing high inequality in patent distribution, particularly for nonfinancial companies. Importantly, the Gini coefficient is increasing over time for all firm types, signaling a trend towards greater concentration across the board. 14Leahy-Smith America Invents Act, Pub. L. No. 112-29, 125 Stat. 284 (2011). Under the first-to-invent system, the first persontoinventapatentableinnovationcouldclaimpatentrights,eveniftheyweren’tthefirsttofileapatentapplication. The AIA changed this so that patent rights are now generally awarded to the first inventor to file a patent application, regardless oftheactual dateof invention. This shiftwasintendedtoprovidemorecertaintyinthe patentprocess, reduce legaldisputes overinventiondates,andharmonizetheU.S.systemwithinternationalpractices. 1535U.S.C.§321note. ThenoteappliesCBMreviewto“coveredbusinessmethodpatent”anddefinesthisas“apatentthat claimsamethodorcorrespondingapparatusforperformingdataprocessingorotheroperationsusedinthepractice,administration, or management of a financial product or service, except that the term does not include patents for technological inventions”(emphasisadded). 20

TheconcentrationofAIpatentsamongafewfinancialinstitutionsindicatesasubstantial accumulation of data and advanced AI capabilities within these entities. In particular, the HHI and Gini coefficient results suggest that there may be a widening AI technological gap in the banking sector. Large banks appear to be at the forefront of AI innovation, developing increasingly sophisticated AI tools, products, and services (Chan, 2024; see diversified banks in Appendix Figure A1, Panel A). Notably, all five banks with the highest AI patent counts have asset sizes in the trillions and are identified as global systemically important banks (GSIBs) by the Financial Stability Board (FSB, 2024b). AI patents can entrench the dominance and systemic importance of large financial institutions. Expanding the patent portfolio further helps large banks remain competitive by shielding them from patent infringement lawsuits. Large banks’ patents can discourage other companies from suing by providing a credible threat of a counterclaim and serving as evidence to invalidate patents asserted against them (La Belle & Schooner, 2014, 2020). Developing and harnessing advanced AI capabilities provide large institutions with competitive advantages in areas such as market analysis, customer service, and operational efficiency. Disruptions at these large institutions could have far-reaching consequences for the whole financialsystem. Additionally, iflargebanksemploysimilarAIsystemsormethodologies, this could lead to correlated decision-making and synchronized market behaviors during periods of stress (Danielsson et al., 2022; Phillips, 2024). Conversely, small banks – which do not appear as AI patent producers in the data – may lack access to comparable resources for research and development, data, and updating technological capacity and may find themselves at a disadvantage. They might struggle to compete effectively in terms of pricing, product offerings, or back-end operations. While large banks may be able to afford filing for patents and defending themselves from infringement suits, the costs are likely too high for small banks. Therefore, small banks may seek vendors to deploy patented AI technologies, potentially exacerbating third-party risk (Crosman, 2024). The high concentration observed among nonfinancial companies, as evidenced 21

by their elevated Gini coefficient, suggests that AI service providers may be limited to a small group of entities. When numerous financial institutions depend on the same small set of AI vendors, operational disruptions affecting these key providers could simultaneously impact multiple small institutions. VIII. Conclusion This paper examines the AI patent rate and concentration metrics among financial innovators from 2000 to 2020, revealing significant heterogeneity across banks, NBFIs, and nonfinancial companies. First, I find evidence of different baseline AI patent rates across firm types. While nonfinancial companies have the highest baseline AI patent rate, banks demonstrate the fastest growth over time. Second, the results suggest that concentration is high and growing in the AI patent landscape. Banks exhibit the highest concentration as measured by HHI, while nonfinancial companies show the highest inequality in patent distribution as measured by the Gini coefficient. Further, the Gini coefficient is increasing for all firm types. These findings empirically support Di Lucido et al.’s (2023) theoretical framework on the changing regulatory perimeter, illustrating banks’ response to outside-in pressure through increased AI innovation. Moreover, these results related to AI patents complement the work of Lerner et al. (2024) on financial patents. Several avenues for future research emerge from this study. First, a deeper analysis of the factors driving the rapid growth in banks’ AI patenting activity could provide valuable insights into the dynamics of innovation in regulated industries. Second, investigation into the strategies employed by NBFIs, particularly large asset managers and hedge funds, in AI innovation could shed light on alternative approaches to technological advancement in the financial sector. Finally, extending this analysis to other major financial markets (e.g., Europe) could reveal how these patterns vary across different international regulatory environments and market structures. 22

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Figures and Tables Figure 1. AI Patent Count, Number of Firms, AI Patent Rate, and AI Patent Ratio by Firm Type (2000-2020) 29

Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal.(2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. For Panels A-C, the data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025. For Panel D, the data consists of allpatents(AIandnon-AI)filedbyfinancialinnovatorsbetween2000-2020andgrantedbyMay2025. Observations forthesefiguresareattheleveloffirmtype(bank,NBFI,nonfinancialcompany)andfilingyear. PanelAshowsthe number of AI patents. Panel B shows the number of firms. Panel C shows the AI patent rate, which is the number ofAIpatentsdividedbythenumberoffirms. PanelDshowstheAIpatentratio,whichisthenumberofAIpatents divided by total patents. 30

Figure 2. AI Patent Concentration Measures by Firm Type (2000-2020) Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal.(2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025. Observations for these figures are at the level of firmtype(bank,NBFI,nonfinancialcompany)andfilingyear. PanelAshowstheHerfindahl-HirschmanIndex(HHI) of AI patents. Panel B shows the Gini coefficient of AI patents. 31

Figure 3. AI Patent Rate – Subject Matter and Inventor Team Geographic Region (2000- 2020) 32

Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal.(2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025. Observations for these figures are at the level of firm type (bank, NBFI, nonfinancial company) and filing year. Panel A shows the number of finance-related AI patentsdividedbythenumberoffirms. PanelBshowsthenumberofplanningandcontrolAIpatentsdividedbythe number of firms. Panel C shows the number of AI patents with an inventor team from different geographic regions divided by the number of firms (i.e., multiple region AI patent rate). 33

Table 1: AI Patent Rate Regressions (1) (2) (3) (4) Baseline Subject Matter = Subject Matter = Geography = Finance-related Planning-related Multiple Regions Intercept 0.38*** 0.20* 0.04 0.49*** NBFIs -0.02 0.25 0.18 0.03 Nonfinancial Companies 1.31*** 2.41*** 2.37*** 1.53*** Filing Year 0.15*** 0.19*** 0.15*** 0.14*** NBFIs * Filing Year -0.05*** -0.08*** -0.05*** -0.02* Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year -0.12*** -0.13*** -0.10*** -0.11*** Subject Matter – 0.32** 0.48*** – NBFIs * Subject Matter – -0.52** -0.41* – Nonfinancial Companies * Subject Matter – -2.17*** -1.05*** – Filing Year * Subject Matter – -0.08*** 0.01 – NBFIs * Filing Year * Subject Matter – 0.07*** 0.00 – Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year * Subject Matter – 0.03 0.00 – Multiple Regions – – – -0.26 NBFIs * Multiple Regions – – – -0.07 Nonfinancial Companies * Multiple Regions – – – -0.42 Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – 0.03 NBFIs * Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – -0.05** Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – -0.02 N 250 250 250 250 R-squared 0.43 0.89 0.84 0.48 Adj. R-squared 0.42 0.88 0.83 0.46 Note: The data comes from Lerner et al. (2024), the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (PTO) Artificial Intelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and grantedbyMay2025. ThedependentvariableforallcolumnsisAIpatentrate,whichisthenumberofAIpatentsdividedbythenumberof firms. Observationsfortheseregressionsareattheleveloffirmtype(bank,NBFI,nonfinancialcompany),filingyear,subjectmatter(either finance-relatedor not, orplanning and controlor not), and inventorteam geography(multi-regionor not). Significance: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01. 34

Table 2: HHI Regressions (1) (2) (3) (4) Baseline Subject Matter = Subject Matter = Geography = Finance-related Planning-related Multiple Regions Intercept 8.26*** 8.40*** 8.38*** 7.98*** NBFIs -1.57*** -1.17*** -1.21*** -1.53*** Nonfinancial Companies -2.14*** -2.12*** -2.18*** -2.23*** Filing Year 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 NBFIs * Filing Year 0.03** 0.00 0.00 0.02** Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.02** Subject Matter – -0.24 -0.18 – NBFIs * Subject Matter – -0.82*** -0.71*** – Nonfinancial Companies * Subject Matter – -0.06 0.40 – Filing Year * Subject Matter – -0.02 0.00 – NBFIs * Filing Year * Subject Matter – 0.05*** 0.04** – Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year * Subject Matter – 0.01 0.00 – Multiple Regions – – – 0.62*** NBFIs * Multiple Regions – – – -0.13 Nonfinancial Companies * Multiple Regions – – – 0.13 Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – -0.03** NBFIs * Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – 0.01 Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – 0.03** N 250 250 250 250 R-squared 0.77 0.84 0.81 0.85 Adj. R-squared 0.77 0.83 0.80 0.84 Note: The data comes from Lerner et al. (2024), the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (PTO) Artificial Intelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025. The dependent variable for all columns is the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) of AI patents. Observations for theseregressionsareattheleveloffirmtype(bank,NBFI,nonfinancialcompany),filingyear,subjectmatter(eitherfinance-relatedornot, or planning and control or not), and inventor team geography (multi-region or not). Significance: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01. 35

Table 3: Gini Coefficient Regressions (1) (2) (3) (4) Baseline Subject Matter = Subject Matter = Geography = Finance-related Planning-related Multiple Regions Intercept 0.31*** 0.24*** 0.13*** 0.36*** NBFIs 0.02 0.11** 0.14** 0.05 Nonfinancial Companies 0.30*** 0.53*** 0.62*** 0.29*** Filing Year 0.02*** 0.02*** 0.03*** 0.02*** NBFIs * Filing Year 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year -0.01*** -0.02*** -0.02*** -0.01*** Subject Matter – 0.13** 0.21*** – NBFIs * Subject Matter – -0.16** -0.13* – Nonfinancial Companies * Subject Matter – -0.45*** -0.25*** – Filing Year * Subject Matter – -0.01*** -0.01 – NBFIs * Filing Year * Subject Matter – 0.01** 0.01 – Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year * Subject Matter – 0.01*** 0.01* – Multiple Regions – – – -0.10* NBFIs * Multiple Regions – – – -0.06 Nonfinancial Companies * Multiple Regions – – – 0.02 Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – 0.00 NBFIs * Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – 0.00 Nonfinancial Companies * Filing Year * Multiple Regions – – – 0.00 N 250 250 250 250 R-squared 0.41 0.75 0.80 0.49 Adj. R-squared 0.40 0.74 0.79 0.47 Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal. (2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligencePatentDataset,andU.S. PTOPatentsview. Thedataconsistsofallartificialintelligence(AI)patentsfiledbyfinancialinnovatorsbetween2000-2020andgrantedby May 2025. The dependent variable for all columns is the Gini coefficient of AI patents. Observations for these regressions are at the level of firm type (bank, NBFI, nonfinancial company), filing year, subject matter (either finance-related or not, or planning and control or not), and inventor team geography (multi-region or not). Significance: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01. 36

Appendix Figure A1. AI Patent Rate within Firm Type (2000-2020) 37

Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal.(2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025. Observations for these figures are at the level of firmsub-typeandfilingyear. PanelAshowsthenumberofAIpatentsdividedbythenumberoffirmsbybanktype (diversified banks, regional banks) and filing year. Panel B shows the number of AI patents divided by the number of firms by NBFI type (asset management and custody, consumer finance, data processing and outsourced services, diversifiedcapitalmarkets,diversifiedrealestateinvestmenttrusts(REITs),financialexchangesanddata,insurance brokers, investment banking and brokerage, life and health insurance, multi-line insurance, multi-sector holdings, propertyandcasualtyinsurance,reinsurance,specializedfinance,specializedREITs,andthriftsandmortgagefinance) and filing year. Panel C shows the number of AI patents divided by the number of firms by nonfinancial company type(communicationservices,consumerdiscretionary,consumerstaples,energy,healthcare,industries,information technology, materials, real estate, utilities) and filing year. 38

Figure A2. Percentage of Most Impactful AI Patents by Firm Type Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal.(2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025 for which breakthrough patent or novelty patent data is available. Observations for these figures are at the level of firm type and filing year. Panel A shows the percentage of breakthrough AI patents. Breakthrough patents are defined by Kelly et al. (2021) as top 10 percent of patents with the highest ratios of forward similarity to backward similarity, indicating that they are dissimilar to priorpatentsbutsimilartofutureones. Theauthorscreatethesimilaritymeasuresbasedonwordfrequencyvectors. 39

While the analysis in their paper goes to 2010, they extend the breakthrough indicator calculations to 2016 in their Github. PanelBdepictsthepercentageofpatentsthatareinthetop25percentofpatentswiththehighestratiosof forwardsimilaritytobackwardsimilarly,asdefinedbyArtsetal.(2021). Theauthorsuseacosinesimilaritymeasure thattakesintoaccountthecombinationofkeywordsandtheirfrequencies. Theydefinetheirmeasureforallpatents granted by May 2018. 40

Figure A3. Finance-Related AI Patent Rate within Firm Type 41

Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal.(2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025. Observations for these figures are at the level of finance category (accounting, asset management, banking, credit, insurance, payments, tax strategies, and trading) and filing year, restricted by firm type depending on the panel. Panel A shows the number of finance-related AI patentsdividedbythenumberoffirmsbyfinancecategoryforbanks. PanelBshowsthenumberoffinance-relatedAI patentsdividedbythenumberoffirmsbyfinancecategoryforNBFIs. PanelCshowsthenumberoffinance-related AI patents divided by the number of firms by finance category for nonfinancial companies. 42

Figure A4. AI Component Patent Rate within Firm Type 43

Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal.(2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financialinnovatorsbetween2000-2020andgrantedbyMay2025. ObservationsforthesefiguresareatthelevelofAI component(evolutionarycomputation,AIhardware,knowledgeprocessing,machinelearning(ML),naturallanguage processing (NLP), speech, and computer vision) and filing year. Panel A shows the number of AI patents divided by the number of firms by AI component category for banks. Panel B shows the number of AI patents divided by the number of firms by AI component category for NBFIs. Panel C shows the number of AI patents divided by the number of firms by AI component category for nonfinancial companies. 44

Figure A5. Inventor Geography AI Patent Rate within Firm Type 45

Note: ThedatacomesfromLerneretal.(2024),theU.S.PatentandTrademarkOffice(PTO)ArtificialIntelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025. Observations for these figures are at the level of inventor team geography (all in west U.S., all in south U.S., all in midwest U.S., all in northeast U.S., all in foreign countries, or multi-region team) and filing year. Panel A shows the number of AI patents divided by the number of firmsbyinventorteamgeographyforbanks. PanelBshowsthenumberofAIpatentsdividedbythenumberoffirms by inventor team geography for NBFIs. Panel C shows the number of AI patents divided by the number of firms by inventor team geography for nonfinancial companies. 46

Table A1: AI Component Definitions from Giczy et al. (2022) AI Component Definition Knowledge process- “The field of knowledge processing contains methods to represent facts about the ing worldandtoderivenewfacts(orknowledge)fromaknowledgebase. Forexample, expert systems generally contain a knowledge base and an inference method to obtain new facts from that knowledge base.” Speech “Speechrecognitionincludesmethodstounderstandasequenceofwordsgivenan acoustic signal. For example, the noisy channel model is a statistical approach usedtoidentifythemostlikelysequenceofwordsgivenverbalinputusingBayes’ rule ….” AI hardware “The field of AI hardware includes physical hardware designed to implement artificial intelligence software. For example, Google designed the Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) to run neural network algorithms more efficiently. AI hardware may include logic circuitry, memory, video, processors, and solid-state technologies. It may also include embedded software that implements other AI component technologies, such as machine learning algorithms.” Evolutionary compu- “Evolutionary computation contains a set of computational methods utilizing astation pects of nature and, specifically, evolution …. For example, genetic algorithms include methods for selecting algorithm variants through the selection of optimal random mutations by maximizing fitness.” Naturallanguagepro- “Naturallanguageprocessingcontainsmethodsforunderstandingandusingdata cessing encoded in human natural language. For example, language models represent probability distributions of language expressions ….” Machine learning “The field of machine learning contains a broad class of computational learning models. For example, supervised learning classification models are algorithms that learn to classify observations based on pre-labeled training data. Machine learning includes, among other techniques, neural networks, fuzzy logic, adaptive systems, probabilistic networks, regression, and intelligent searching.” Computer vision “Thefieldofcomputervisioncontainsmethodstoextractandunderstandinformation from visual input, including images and videos. For example, edge detection identifies the boundaries and borders contained in an image. Additional areas ofcomputervisionincludeobjectrecognition,manipulation(e.g.,transformation, enhancement, or restoration), color processing, and conversion.” Planning and control “Thefieldofplanningandcontrolcontainsmethodstoidentifyandexecuteplans to achieve specified goals. Key aspects of planning include representing actions and states of the world, reasoning about the effects of actions, and efficiently searching over potential plans. Modern control theory includes methods to maximize objectives over time …. For example, stochastic optimal control considers dynamic optimization in uncertain environments. Additionally, planning and control includes data systems for administration/ management (e.g., managing an organization and its employees, including inventory, workflow, forecasting, and time management), adaptive control systems, and models or simulators of systems.” 47

Table A2: Full Data – Descriptive Statistics (2000-2020) Statistic Banks NBFIs Other Total Number of Assignees 52 386 1291 Number of Patents Total Patent Count 5678 16464 433428 Mean Patent Count by Assignee 109.19 42.65 335.73 Median Patent Count by Assignee 3 3 9 Patent Subject Matter Percent Finance-Related 35.65 48.55 2.41 Percent Payments 22.77 24.34 1.52 Percent Banking 5.09 3.24 0.17 Percent Credit 1.85 2.03 0.08 Percent Trading 2.24 5.87 0.26 Percent Asset Management 2.11 2.02 0.06 Percent Insurance 0.65 10.47 0.15 Percent Tax Strategies 0.07 0.02 0.02 Percent Accounting 0.86 0.56 0.16 Percent Not Finance-Related 64.35 51.45 97.59 Percent Planning and Control 73.14 70.32 37.62 Percent Machine Learning 17.05 16.83 13.52 Percent Evolutionary Computation 4.47 5.61 4.85 Percent Speech 5.55 5.41 7.11 Percent Computer Vision 11.76 17.49 26.95 Percent AI Hardware 36.33 29.68 42.11 Percent Natural Language Processing 18.18 19.33 18.20 Percent Knowledge Processing 40.31 34.23 25.29 Patent Inventor Geography Percent Single US Region 42.18 69.14 43.53 Percent Northeast 10.58 13.63 6.57 Percent Midwest 3.17 13.31 4.05 Percent South 20.45 18.82 5.97 Percent West 7.98 23.38 26.94 Percent Only Foreign Countries 15.04 6.89 37.59 Percent Multiple Regions 42.76 23.96 18.85 Patent Concentration HHI 3387.41 591.91 332.19 Gini Coefficient 0.92 0.90 0.92 Note: The data comes from Lerner et al. (2024), the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (PTO) Artificial Intelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all artificial intelligence (AI) patents filed by financial innovators between 2000-2020 and granted by May 2025. Observations for this table are at the individual patent level. 48

Table A3: Mean AI Patent Ratio 2000-2004 2005-2009 2010-2014 2015-2020 Banks 0.55 0.63 0.64* 0.76* NBFIs 0.44 0.49 0.54 0.65 Nonfinancial companies 0.16 0.21** 0.24 0.28 Note: The data comes from Lerner et al. (2024), the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (PTO) Artificial Intelligence Patent Dataset, and U.S. PTO Patentsview. The data consists of all patents filed by financial innovatorsbetween2000-2020andgrantedbyMay2025. Thetabledepictstheaverageratioofartificialintelligence (AI)patentstototal patentsbyfirm type andfiling yearperiod. T-tests wereconducted to determineif the average for the filing year period is significantly different from the average for the period prior. Significance: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01. 49

Cite this document
APA
Jean Xiao Timmerman (2025). Artificial Intelligence Innovation by Financial Innovators: Evidence from US Patents (FEDS 2025-104). Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Finance and Economics Discussion Series. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/feds_2025-104
BibTeX
@techreport{wtfs_feds_2025_104,
  author = {Jean Xiao Timmerman},
  title = {Artificial Intelligence Innovation by Financial Innovators: Evidence from US Patents},
  type = {Finance and Economics Discussion Series},
  number = {2025-104},
  institution = {Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System},
  year = {2025},
  url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/feds_2025-104},
  abstract = {This paper examines the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) patent rates (i.e., the number of AI patents/number of firms of the same type) and concentration metrics (i.e., the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) and Gini coefficient) among financial market participants from 2000 to 2020. It documents the historical trajectories of AI innovation for regulated banking entities and less-regulated firms, revealing that nonfinancial companies exhibit the highest baseline AI patent rate, while banks show the highest growth in AI patent rate over time. Banks have the highest HHI, and nonfinancial companies have the highest Gini coefficient, suggesting that a small number of banks dominate AI innovation and the distribution of AI innovation at nonfinancial firms – though higher in number – is highly skewed toward a subset of players. These findings indicate that the AI technological gap between small and large banks may be widening and the diversity of nonfinancial companies serving as third-party AI service providers may be limited.},
}